Standing view · labour_market · Nottingham
mixed, held with tentative confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-08.
The job market in Nottingham has gone both ways at this geography. Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 was 5.9 in April 2026 and 5.9 again in June, both recorded as favourable against the usual pattern for their month. Against that, the claimant count was 13,865 in March 2026, payrolled employees 134,405 in May, 134,631 in June and 134,743 in July, and the proportion 6.1 in August 2026, all unfavourable. Two favourable readings against five, with the August proportion the most recent and the highest, is a weak picture that no direction can be claimed from.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Nottingham. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Claimant count | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-04 | improving |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-05 | deteriorating |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-06 | improving |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-07 | deteriorating |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-08 | deteriorating |