Standing view · housing · Caerphilly
falling, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2026-07.
Homes sold in Caerphilly fell from 160 in March 2026 to 107 in April. Rents were steady over the same months: a terraced home cost £728 in March and £732 in April, a semi-detached home £776 in May, and a two-bedroom home £685 in June and £686 in July. The average house price was £198,506 in April. Two consecutive falls in transactions, against rents moving by a pound or two a month, makes the fall in sales the only movement of any size in these figures.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Caerphilly. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Homes sold | 2026-03 | falling |
| Homes sold | 2026-04 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Average private rent, terraced | 2026-03 | — |
| Average house price | 2026-04 | — |
| Average private rent, terraced | 2026-04 | — |
| Average private rent, semi-detached | 2026-05 | — |
| Average private rent, two bedrooms | 2026-06 | — |
| Average private rent, two bedrooms | 2026-07 | — |