Standing view · population · Kingston upon Hull, City of
falling, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Live births in Kingston upon Hull, City of has been falling. Live births numbered 2,845 in 2025, with the crude birth rate at 10.4 and the general fertility rate (GFR) at 50.1, each recorded as falling against the usual pattern for its year, and the general fertility rate (GFR) was 53.6 in 2024, also falling. The total fertility rate (TFR) stood at 1.48 in 2025, and population at 274,727 in 2024 and 273,257 in 2025. Four falling readings across two years, with the population itself edging down, is a consistent picture.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Kingston upon Hull, City of. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| Crude birth rate | 2025 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2025 | falling |
| Live births | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |