Standing view · health · Mole Valley
improving, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Mole Valley have been improving, and the view is held strongly. Adults who smoke was 3.3 in 2023, and the suicide rate, per 100,000 9.79 across 2021 to 2023 and 7.81 across 2022 to 2024, each recorded as favourable against the usual pattern. Adults who are obese was 24.58 in 2024/25 and ran the other way, recorded as unfavourable, with adults who are physically active at 81.14 in 2023/24. Three favourable movements against one, including two consecutive pooled windows on the suicide rate, is what carries the view.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Mole Valley. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who smoke | 2023 | improving |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2021 - 23 | improving |
| Adults who are obese | 2024/25 | deteriorating |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | improving |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who are physically active | 2023/24 | — |