Standing view · health · Pendle
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
Deaths before the age of 75 in Pendle rose to 431.09 per 100,000 residents in 2023, then fell to 335.72 in 2025. Adult smoking rose to 20.12% in 2024, and the suicide rate from 15.18 per 100,000 over the three years to 2023 to 18.26 over the three years to 2024. Four of the five readings published are unfavourable, and only the most recent mortality figure went the other way.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Pendle. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2021 - 23 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | deteriorating |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | improving |