Standing view · labour_market · East Riding of Yorkshire
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-08.
The job market in East Riding of Yorkshire has been weakening at this geography too, and both monthly measures agree. The claimant count was 4,605 in June 2026, 4,595 in July and 4,645 in August 2026, each recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern for its month, and payrolled employees was 147,816 in April 2026, 149,007 in June and 149,137 in July, also unfavourable. Running the other way, claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 was 2.3 in April 2026 and payrolled employees 148,388 in May, both favourable. Six unfavourable readings against two is a consistent picture.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about East Riding of Yorkshire. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-04 | improving |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-04 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-05 | improving |
| Claimant count | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-07 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-07 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-08 | deteriorating |