Standing view · health · North Devon
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
Deaths before the age of 75 in North Devon rose to 372.41 per 100,000 residents in 2023, then fell to 311.61 in 2024. Adult smoking rose to 16.37% in 2024. Two of the three readings published here are unfavourable, and the one favourable reading is the most recent mortality figure, so the direction depends on whether that fall holds. Both measures are annual and district-level mortality rests on small counts.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about North Devon. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2024 | improving |