Standing view · population · Hammersmith and Fulham
falling, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Crude birth rate in Hammersmith and Fulham has been falling. The crude birth rate was 9.9 in 2023, 10.9 in 2024 and 10.2 in 2025, each recorded as falling against the usual pattern for its year, with the general fertility rate (GFR) at 38.7 in 2024, also falling. Live births numbered 2,085 in 2024 and 1,948 in 2025, the total fertility rate (TFR) stood at 1.14 in 2024, and population at 190,803 in 2024. Three consecutive falling years on the crude birth rate, alongside a total fertility rate at that level, is a consistent picture.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Hammersmith and Fulham. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Crude birth rate | 2023 | falling |
| Crude birth rate | 2024 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| Crude birth rate | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 2024 | — |
| Live births | 2024 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2024 | — |
| Live births | 2025 | — |