Standing view · labour_market · Haringey and Islington
improving, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-08.
The job market in Haringey and Islington has been getting stronger, and the view is held strongly. The claimant count was 22,955 in March 2026 and 22,640 in April, both recorded as favourable against the usual pattern for their month, with claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 at 6.4 in March and 6.4 again in July, also favourable. Running the other way, the unemployment rate for those aged 16-64 was 7.4 in the year to March 2026 and payrolled employees 240,614 in April, both unfavourable. Of the inactive, 23.1 were long-term sick, and 10.6 of those aged 16-64 were self employed.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Haringey and Islington. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Unemployment rate - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-03 | improving |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | improving |
| Claimant count | 2026-04 | improving |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-04 | deteriorating |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-07 | improving |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| % aged 16-64 who are self employed | 2026-03 | — |
| % of economically inactive long-term sick | 2026-03 | — |