Standing view · population · Tamworth
falling, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
The general fertility rate in Tamworth fell from 48.4 live births per thousand women of childbearing age in 2024 to 46.7 in 2025. Live births fell from 739 to 726 over the same years, the total fertility rate from 1.43 to 1.36, and the crude birth rate to 8.9 per thousand residents in 2025, against a population of 81,392. Four measures moved the same way across two consecutive years, which makes this a firm reading.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Tamworth. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| Live births | 2024 | falling |
| Crude birth rate | 2025 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2025 | falling |
| Live births | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |