Standing view · health · Warrington
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Warrington have been worsening. The suicide rate, per 100,000 was 9.64 across 2021 to 2023 and 15.56 across 2022 to 2024, both recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern, and the second is a large step up. Running the other way, adults who are obese was 23.7 in 2024/25, adults who smoke 5.56 in 2024 and deaths before age 75, per 100,000 331.23 in 2025, all favourable. Three favourable readings against two would normally point the other way; the size of the suicide-rate movement is what carries this view.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Warrington. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2021 - 23 | deteriorating |
| Adults who are obese | 2024/25 | improving |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | improving |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | improving |