Standing view · population · Maldon
falling, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
General fertility rate in Maldon has been falling. The general fertility rate (GFR) was 47.4 in 2024 and 52.3 in 2025, recorded as falling in both years against the usual pattern. The other measures carry no direction here: live births numbered 508 in 2024 and 576 in 2025, the total fertility rate (TFR) was 1.38 and then 1.52, the crude birth rate 8.2 in 2025, and population 70,196. Two falling readings on one measure, with the birth counts not moving the same way, is why the view is held as established rather than strong.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Maldon. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Live births | 2024 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |
| Crude birth rate | 2025 | — |
| Live births | 2025 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |