Standing view · labour_market · East Riding of Yorkshire
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-08.
The job market in East Riding of Yorkshire has been weakening, and the view is held strongly because nothing runs the other way. The claimant count was 4,750 in January 2026, 4,900 in February, 4,940 in March, 4,605 in June and 4,595 in July 2026, and every one of those readings was recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern for its month, including the two where the level fell. The employment rate for those aged 16-64 was 76.5 in the year to March 2026 and those economically inactive 19.2, also unfavourable. Of the inactive, 10.2 were looking after family or home.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about East Riding of Yorkshire. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Claimant count | 2026-01 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-02 | deteriorating |
| Employment rate - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| % who are economically inactive - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-07 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| % of economically inactive looking after family/home | 2026-03 | — |