Standing view · labour_market · East Riding of Yorkshire
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2026-07.
The employment rate in the East Riding of Yorkshire fell to 76.5% in the year to March 2026 and economic inactivity rose to 19.2%, of which 10.2% were looking after family or home. Modelled unemployment rose to 6,700 over the same year. The claimant count rose from 4,750 in January 2026 to 4,900 in February and 4,940 in March, and the June reading of 4,605 was still recorded as unfavourable. Five measures from two producers moved unfavourably.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about East Riding of Yorkshire. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Claimant count | 2026-01 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-02 | deteriorating |
| Employment rate - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| % who are economically inactive - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Unemployment count (model based) | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| % of economically inactive looking after family/home | 2026-03 | — |