Standing view · health · Warrington
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
The suicide rate in Warrington rose from 9.64 per 100,000 residents over the three years to 2023 to 15.56 over the three years to 2024. Adult smoking fell to 5.56% in 2024 and deaths before the age of 75 to 331.23 per 100,000 in 2025. Two of the four readings are favourable, but the suicide rate shows a run across two overlapping pooled periods and the rise between them is substantial.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Warrington. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2021 - 23 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | improving |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | improving |