Standing view · population · Bradford
rising, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Live births in Bradford numbered 6,862 in 2023 and 7,076 in 2024, rising in both years. The general fertility rate was 59.8 in 2023 and 61.6 in 2024, also rising in both. The crude birth rate was 12.3 in 2023 and the total fertility rate 1.81 that year and 1.88 in 2025. The population was 559,818 in 2024. Every measure with a recorded direction here was rising, and births stood higher in 2024 than in 2023.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Bradford. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2023 | rising |
| Live births | 2023 | rising |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | rising |
| Live births | 2024 | rising |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Crude birth rate | 2023 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2023 | — |
| Population | 2024 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |