Standing view · health · Newcastle-under-Lyme
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Newcastle-under-Lyme have been worsening. Adults who smoke was 4.3 in 2023 and recorded as favourable against the usual pattern for its year, then 12.33 in 2024 and unfavourable — a reversal inside one measure, with the unfavourable reading the more recent. Hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 stood at 558.77 in 2023/24 and adults who are physically active at 69.39 in 2024/25. The smoking turn is what the direction rests on, which is why the view is held as established rather than strong.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Newcastle-under-Lyme. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who smoke | 2023 | improving |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 | 2023/24 | — |
| Adults who are physically active | 2024/25 | — |