Standing view · health · Three Rivers
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Three Rivers have been worsening, and the view is held strongly. Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 was 288.34 in 2023, adults who are obese 24.16 in 2024/25, and the suicide rate, per 100,000 10.87 across 2022 to 2024, every one of those recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern. Adults who smoke was 6.47 in 2024 and ran the other way, recorded as favourable, with adults who are physically active at 63.8 in 2024/25. Three unfavourable movements against one favourable.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Three Rivers. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Adults who are obese | 2024/25 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | improving |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who are physically active | 2024/25 | — |