Standing view · labour_market · South Nottinghamshire
mixed, held with tentative confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-08.
The share who are self employed in South Nottinghamshire has been falling, while the share who are economically inactive has been rising. In the year to March 2026, 6.9 of those aged 16-64 were self employed and those economically inactive was 20.1, recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern for its period. Payrolled employees stood at 156,939 in February 2026, 157,343 in May, 157,735 in June and 158,027 in July, each unfavourable, with the claimant count at 5,875 in March also unfavourable. Only the claimant proportion of 2.6 in April read favourably.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about South Nottinghamshire. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Payrolled employees | 2026-02 | deteriorating |
| % who are economically inactive - aged 16-64 | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimant count | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Claimants as a proportion of residents aged 16-64 | 2026-04 | improving |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-05 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
| Payrolled employees | 2026-07 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| % aged 16-64 who are self employed | 2026-03 | falling |