Standing view · health · South Ribble
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in South Ribble have been worsening. Adults who are obese was 29.87 in 2024/25 and deaths before age 75, per 100,000 319.82 in 2025, both recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern for their year. Running the other way, adults who smoke was 7.94 in 2024 and deaths before age 75, per 100,000 279.49 in 2024, both favourable. Hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 stood at 445.43 and children who are physically active at 60.38. The early-death rate reversing, with the worse reading more recent, tips the view.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about South Ribble. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who are obese | 2024/25 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | improving |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2024 | improving |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 | 2023/24 | — |
| Children who are physically active | 2024/25 | — |