Standing view · health · Guildford
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Guildford have been worsening, on a single measure. The suicide rate, per 100,000 was 13.95 across 2022 to 2024 and was recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern. Nothing else in this evidence moves, and nothing runs the other way, so the view rests entirely on one pooled three-year figure. That is why it is held as established rather than strong: a pooled rate is a reasonable basis for saying something has moved, but one measure cannot say whether the wider health picture here is moving with it.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Guildford. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |