Standing view · health · Pendle
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Health measures in Pendle have been worsening, and the view is held strongly. Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 was 431.09 in 2023, the suicide rate, per 100,000 15.18 across 2021 to 2023 and 18.26 across 2022 to 2024, and adults who smoke 20.12 in 2024, every one of those recorded as unfavourable against the usual pattern. Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 then read 335.72 in 2025 and was favourable, with hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 at 338.69. Four unfavourable movements against one.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Pendle. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2021 - 23 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | deteriorating |
| Suicide rate, per 100,000 | 2022 - 24 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | improving |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Hospital admissions for COPD, aged 35 and over, per 100,000 | 2023/24 | — |