Standing view · population · Basildon
falling, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
The general fertility rate in Basildon was 54.5 in 2024 and 53.1 in 2025, falling in both years. Live births numbered 2,079 in 2024, also falling, and the crude birth rate was 10.8 that year, likewise falling. The total fertility rate was 1.68 in 2023 and 1.56 in 2024. The population was 192,810 in 2024 and 193,489 in 2025. Every fertility measure here fell, while the population was larger in 2025 than in 2024.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Basildon. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Crude birth rate | 2024 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| Live births | 2024 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2023 | — |
| Population | 2024 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |