Standing view · business · Arun
deteriorating, held with strong confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2026-06.
Business births in Arun numbered 135 in the quarter to June 2025, 125 in the quarter to December 2025 and 125 in the quarter to June 2026, each recorded as unfavourable. Business deaths were 145 in the quarter to June 2025, 125 in the quarter to September, 115 in the quarter to December and 170 in the quarter to March 2026, the last of these unfavourable. Businesses employing 10 to 19 people numbered 310 in 2026. Births were 10 lower in the quarter to June 2026 than a year earlier.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Arun. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Business births | 2025-06 | deteriorating |
| Business deaths | 2025-06 | improving |
| Business deaths | 2025-09 | improving |
| Business births | 2025-12 | deteriorating |
| Business deaths | 2025-12 | improving |
| Business deaths | 2026-03 | deteriorating |
| Business births | 2026-06 | deteriorating |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Businesses employing 10 to 19 people | 2026 | — |