Standing view · population · Kingston upon Hull, City of
falling, held with strong confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
Live births in Hull fell to 2,845 in 2025. The general fertility rate fell from 53.6 live births per thousand women of childbearing age in 2024 to 50.1 in 2025, the crude birth rate to 10.4 per thousand residents and the total fertility rate stood at 1.48. Population fell from 274,727 in 2024 to 273,257 in 2025. Three fertility measures moved the same way and the population shrank, which is a consistent picture across every figure published here.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Kingston upon Hull, City of. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | falling |
| Crude birth rate | 2025 | falling |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2025 | falling |
| Live births | 2025 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |