Standing view · health · Havant
improving, held with established confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
Adult smoking in Havant rose to 17.8% in 2023, then fell sharply to 7.88% in 2024. Deaths before the age of 75 rose to 358.3 per 100,000 residents in 2025. The fall in smoking is the largest movement here, but a change of that size in one year of a district-level survey rests on a small sample, and the mortality reading went the other way. Two of the three readings published are unfavourable, so the improvement depends entirely on the most recent smoking figure.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Havant. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Adults who smoke | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | improving |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2025 | deteriorating |