Standing view · health · Ashfield
deteriorating, held with established confidence, formed on 5 October 2026 from movements in 2025.
Deaths before age 75 in Ashfield numbered 452.45 per 100,000 in 2023, an unfavourable movement, and 390.12 per 100,000 in 2024, a favourable one. Adults who are obese accounted for 28.16% in 2024/25, also favourable, and adults who smoke 15.22% in 2024, unfavourable. Children who are physically active made up 44.65% in 2024/25. The 2024 reading of deaths before 75 is the lower of the two years recorded, while smoking moved the other way.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Ashfield. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2023 | deteriorating |
| Adults who are obese | 2024/25 | improving |
| Adults who smoke | 2024 | deteriorating |
| Deaths before age 75, per 100,000 | 2024 | improving |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| Children who are physically active | 2024/25 | — |