Standing view · population · Isles of Scilly
falling, held with established confidence, formed on 31 August 2026 from movements in 2025.
The crude birth rate in the Isles of Scilly fell to 5.5 per thousand residents in 2024. The general fertility rate was 22.2 live births per thousand women of childbearing age in 2023 and 28.8 in 2024, and the total fertility rate 0.73 in 2023, 0.91 in 2024 and 1.05 in 2025. Population fell from 2,383 in 2024 to 2,299 in 2025. With a population this small the annual birth count is a handful of births, so the fertility rates swing widely from year to year.
A view is formed only where the evidence names a figure you can check. Each movement listed as a reason had to be large enough to matter and distinctive in at least one way — unusual against this area's own history, unusual against comparable areas, or sustained over several periods. A movement shared with peers counts for less, because it says something about the country rather than about Isles of Scilly. Where no figure supports a direction we hold no view rather than a hedged one.
| Measure | Period | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Crude birth rate | 2024 | falling |
These figures carry no defensible direction of their own: a rising house price is good news to an owner and bad news to someone trying to buy, so we do not score one as an improvement. They are shown because they are part of the picture, and they did not decide the view above.
| Measure | Period | Series |
|---|---|---|
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2023 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2023 | — |
| Population | 2024 | — |
| General fertility rate (GFR) | 2024 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2024 | — |
| Population | 2025 | — |
| Total fertility rate (TFR) | 2025 | — |